BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Ball State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Ball State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
15.82 |
12.69 (-3.13) |
24.00 |
14.80 (-9.20) |
14.01 (-0.79) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
289.36 |
252.44 (-36.92) |
319.00 |
236.60 (-82.40) |
242.54 (+5.94) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.68 |
4.10 (-0.58) |
4.56 |
3.49 (-1.07) |
3.72 (+0.23) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
26.00 |
26.54 (+0.54) |
48.40 |
48.89 (+0.49) |
40.51 (-8.38) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
309.09 |
364.28 (+55.19) |
544.40 |
558.62 (+14.22) |
485.74 (-72.88) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.12 |
5.51 (+0.39) |
8.48 |
8.77 (+0.29) |
7.55 (-1.22) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-07 |
Missouri State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-34 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Miami |
9.54 |
62.93 |
+53.39 |
72.48 |
0.10% |
L 0-62 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Central Michigan |
21.98 |
29.49 |
+7.51 |
51.47 |
37.95% |
L 34-37 |
1-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@James Madison |
8.16 |
61.67 |
+53.52 |
69.83 |
0.10% |
L 7-63 |
1-3 |
| 2024-10-05 |
Western Michigan |
23.18 |
32.37 |
+9.19 |
55.56 |
35.26% |
L 42-45 |
1-4 |
| 2024-10-12 |
@Kent State |
32.27 |
26.71 |
-5.56 |
58.98 |
58.92% |
W 37-35 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Vanderbilt |
15.33 |
52.03 |
+36.71 |
67.36 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Northern Illinois |
12.91 |
31.38 |
+18.47 |
44.30 |
20.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-05 |
Miami (OH) |
11.93 |
28.29 |
+16.36 |
40.22 |
23.76% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-12 |
@Buffalo |
14.96 |
30.33 |
+15.37 |
45.29 |
25.35% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Bowling Green |
15.80 |
36.77 |
+20.97 |
52.56 |
16.36% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-29 |
@Ohio |
14.33 |
32.59 |
+18.27 |
46.92 |
20.70% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
30.18% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
41.00% |
30.18% |
69.82% |
| 4-8 |
22.09% |
71.18% |
28.82% |
| 5-7 |
5.91% |
93.26% |
6.74% |
| 6-6 |
0.78% |
99.18% |
0.82% |
| 7-5 |
0.05% |
99.95% |
0.05% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
5.01% |
| 2-10 |
19.68% |
| 3-9 |
31.03% |
| 4-8 |
26.34% |
| 5-7 |
13.07% |
| 6-6 |
4.03% |
| 7-5 |
0.77% |
| 8-4 |
0.08% |
| 9-3 |
0.00% |