BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Saturday, December 21, 2024

#128 Ball State 2024 Season Summary

Team Logo

National Average Data

Category 2023 Raw 2024 Raw 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 26.70 26.76 26.76 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 379.93 377.68 377.68 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.70 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

Ball State 2024 - Unit Statistics

Offense (#109)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 15.82 12.69 (-3.13) 23.82 22.37 (-1.44) 22.37 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 289.36 252.44 (-36.92) 339.00 326.94 (-12.06) 326.94 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 4.68 4.10 (-0.58) 5.04 4.85 (-0.18) 4.85 (+0.00)

Defense (#131)

Category 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Raw 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2024 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 26.00 26.54 (+0.54) 40.64 42.40 (+1.76) 42.40 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 309.09 364.28 (+55.19) 467.27 495.41 (+28.14) 495.41 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.12 5.51 (+0.39) 7.21 7.45 (+0.24) 7.45 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +1.0

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2024-09-07 Missouri State Non-FBS Opponent W 42-34 1-0
2024-09-14 @Miami 21.00 66.09 +45.09 87.08 0.10% L 0-62 1-1
2024-09-21 @Central Michigan 28.97 30.93 +1.96 59.90 46.86% L 34-37 1-2
2024-09-28 @James Madison 19.38 51.39 +32.02 70.77 0.10% L 7-63 1-3
2024-10-05 Western Michigan 31.06 38.29 +7.23 69.35 38.41% L 42-45 1-4
2024-10-12 @Kent State 41.43 24.05 -17.38 65.49 77.88% W 37-35 2-4
2024-10-19 @Vanderbilt 20.24 45.70 +25.46 65.94 9.16% L 14-24 2-5
2024-10-26 Northern Illinois 16.76 29.73 +12.96 46.49 29.21% W 25-23 3-5
2024-11-06 Miami (OH) 18.23 33.11 +14.89 51.34 26.13% L 21-27 3-6
2024-11-13 @Buffalo 28.21 42.67 +14.46 70.88 26.81% L 48-51 3-7
2024-11-23 Bowling Green 20.29 36.72 +16.44 57.01 23.64% L 13-38 3-8
2024-11-29 @Ohio 17.43 44.41 +26.98 61.84 6.73% L 21-42 3-9

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
3-9 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 1.72%
2-10 11.77%
3-9 26.80%
4-8 30.70%
5-7 19.44%
6-6 7.58%
7-5 1.75%
8-4 0.23%
9-3 0.02%
10-2 0.00%